THE BARON’S SPORTS BET 5/1/12

Last season’s NBA champions Dallas have begun the 2011/12 season slowly, with four losses from their first six games, including a 22-point thumping at home to Denver and a 17-point loss at Minnesota. The Phoenix Suns have also begun slowly, winning two from five, but both teams have won two of their past three. The Mavericks were 100-87 last-start winners against the previously unbeaten Oklahoma City Thunder, while the Suns won 102-91 at home to the Golden State Warriors. It’s hard to split them so The Baron has decided to look at the Under/Over market.

Dallas’ six games have averaged 194.3 points total, with 95 for the Mavs and 99.3 for their opponents. The Suns have averaged 91.8 points, with 92.8 against, for an average total points score of 184.6 points per game. Three of Dallas’ six games have exceeded the Under/Over line of 195.5 set for this match, while just one of the Suns’ has.

But recent history between the sides would suggest a high-scorer. The Mavs won all four encounters last season, with the games averaging a total of 198.5 points. Only one was under the Under/Over mark set for this match, with two well over 200 points. Nine of the past 10 matches between these sides have been over the 195.5-point mark. With Phoenix’s star guard Steve Nash returning to scoring form with 21 against with Warriors, and Dallas forward Dirk Nowitzki likewise with 26 against the Thunder, The Baron is banking on Over again.

View the latest market at www.tomwaterhouse.com